Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.066314 0.074721 0.083306 0.092701 0.102662 0.112881 0.124132
2025-08-10 0.052773 0.065194 0.078490 0.093648 0.110323 0.127991 0.148018
2025-08-17 0.043561 0.058289 0.074690 0.094000 0.115832 0.139503 0.166873
2025-08-24 0.034942 0.050724 0.068996 0.091167 0.116856 0.145265 0.178663
2025-08-31 0.028389 0.044724 0.064365 0.088867 0.117878 0.150508 0.189403
2025-09-07 0.024579 0.041617 0.062775 0.089774 0.122290 0.159341 0.203966
2025-09-14 0.021776 0.039460 0.062078 0.091519 0.127496 0.168937 0.219277
2025-09-21 0.020199 0.038749 0.063053 0.095190 0.134905 0.181028 0.237416
2025-09-28 0.017856 0.036704 0.062115 0.096324 0.139135 0.189304 0.251066
2025-10-05 0.018132 0.038436 0.066151 0.103749 0.151048 0.206683 0.275370
2025-10-12 0.015490 0.035556 0.063825 0.102901 0.152689 0.211777 0.285220
2025-10-19 0.014184 0.034583 0.063996 0.105204 0.158173 0.221425 0.300406
2025-10-26 0.012127 0.032306 0.062381 0.105301 0.161136 0.228357 0.312804
2025-11-02 0.010658 0.030848 0.061853 0.106820 0.165916 0.237553 0.328004
2025-11-09 0.009087 0.028988 0.060602 0.107262 0.169255 0.244950 0.341026
2025-11-16 0.006945 0.025682 0.056946 0.104219 0.167953 0.246520 0.346929
2025-11-23 0.005256 0.022881 0.053826 0.101740 0.167243 0.248717 0.353504
2025-11-30 0.004426 0.021730 0.053207 0.102718 0.171018 0.256456 0.366783
2025-12-07 0.003842 0.021024 0.053246 0.104599 0.175965 0.265651 0.381836
2025-12-14 0.003626 0.021188 0.054718 0.108553 0.183679 0.278335 0.401177
2025-12-21 0.003051 0.020293 0.054344 0.109774 0.187713 0.286372 0.414821
2025-12-28 0.003419 0.022044 0.058537 0.117755 0.200874 0.305978 0.442720
2026-01-04 0.002631 0.020372 0.056749 0.116844 0.202016 0.310354 0.451877